Yes, he's facing 91 felony counts. Yes, Democrats in blue states are attempting to keep him off the ballot. And, yes, this is Trump we're talking about, who is as undisciplined as any candidate in history. But the country is in such bad shape under President Joe Biden and Biden’s numbers are so low that it’s almost impossible to see voters in the states that matter — including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — helping to reelect him. 

 

Biden won by slim margins in all of the aforementioned states in 2020. But his base, especially Black voters, Hispanic voters, young voters and independents, are leaving him in droves. He's currently underwater in terms of approval/disapproval in numerous states, including Democratic bastions like California, Illinois, New York and New Jersey. 

 

As for the swing states, the polling shows Biden getting swept by Trump in all seven. Given Biden's age and the perception that he's no longer capable of doing the job, it's difficult to see how he wins another four years regardless of who his opponent is