Biden is losing his edge with voters
For some time now, despite being a mentally incoherent man, with a corrupt past and a current sexual assault claim hanging over his head, Biden kept leading Trump in the polls. Suddenly, though, Biden's lead has slipped to the point at which he and Trump are in a statistical heat. More importantly, Biden is not even holding the same ground that Hillary Clinton held at the same time in her 2016 campaign.
The fact that Trump is out there being a leader, while Biden is reading a TelePrompter from his basement, is having an effect. Reuters reports:
Joe Biden's advantage over President Donald Trump in popular support has eroded in recent weeks as the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee struggles for visibility with voters during the coronavirus pandemic, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday.
The opinion poll conducted on Monday and Tuesday found that 43% of registered voters said they would support Biden in the Nov. 3 presidential election, while 41% said they would back Trump. That makes the contest essentially a toss-up, as the results are within the poll's credibility interval.
Biden led by 6 percentage points in a similar poll last week and by 8 points in a poll that ran April 15 to 21.
Tyler O'Neil has found some data that should worry Biden more than just polling evenly with Trump during a bizarre time in America's political history. It turns out that Biden is not only trailing Trump, but also trailing Hillary Clinton's numbers for the first week of May in a presidential election year:
Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden may face an even more difficult race against Trump this year, particularly because he's not just less popular than Trump — he's also less popular than Clinton was in May 2016.
A new Civiqs/Daily Kos poll released on Wednesday found that 55 percent of Americans view Trump as "unfavorable," while 43 percent view him as favorable, giving Trump a negative 12 percent approval rating.
In the same poll, however, 56 percent of Americans view Joe Biden unfavorably, while only 34 percent view him favorably, giving the Democrat a negative 22 percent approval rating.
This is astonishing, not just because Biden is more unpopular than Trump by about 10 percentage points, but because he is also far more unpopular than Hillary Clinton was at this point in 2016, according to the Huffington Post's survey of polls.
Outside rabid feminists, Hillary was not a well liked candidate. She was a "hold your nose" candidate. Biden, it seems, isn't even meeting the "hold your nose" metric.
One of the points one often hears about Biden lately is that nobody ever has a good reason to vote for Biden. His supporters don't love him. Instead, they hate Trump. That kind of hatred, though, is hard to hang onto during a time of crisis when the person you hate shows himself to be a very proactive, capable, intelligent leader.
The media may be spitting poison about Trump, and the true believers may swallow those toxic words, but ordinary people are beginning to realize that Trump is neither Hitler nor Bozo the Clown. He is, instead, an extremely hardworking man who has shown significant organizational abilities and sound common sense. Biden, blathering away in his basement, looks pathetic next to that — and that would be true even if Biden weren't succumbing to dementia.
As Glenn Reynolds always says, "don't get cocky." Hillary got cocky in 2016, and look at what happened. The election isn't over until the last vote is counted, and it's up to conservatives and patriots to make sure the real votes outnumber the harvested ones.