Prediction for tonight: Trump by 5 (still)
Crunch time! So suck it up and vote!
Okay, even I admit to butterflies right now. Who wouldn't? But the song remains the same: Trump +5%. Simply have confidence, and make it so.
Flawed MSM polls have come in from Clinton +8% to Clinton +4%. Color me surprised. It wasn't majority Comey impact; it was reality intruding close to the election. Funny how the preferred three daily polls (L.A. Times/USC, IBD/TIPP, and Rasmussen) have all held their ground or shown Trump to be net gaining. Specifically, they have risen to collective net Trump +2%.
To read about my prior reasoning, click here. In the meantime, let's summarize how we add three more points to Trump's popular vote.
Polls are lies invented to influence voters and create their own news, which calls for focus on the logical (historically) outperforming ones. Party sampling is using 2012 turnout, which even absentee ballots have put the lie to already. And then there's the Bradley Effect (yes, it's real – or are you talking pro-Trump at the office and at parties and keeping your Trump signs?).
Collectively, then, the most accurate polls are currently at Trump +2%, and the rest of the polling errors I suspect add up to at least another 3% differential. That's Trump +5%...still.
Don't come all this way to give up now. Summon up the courage and vote. History is watching rather close on this one. Be counted.