Kerry: Brexit can be 'walked back'

U.S. secretary of state John Kerry told the Aspen Ideas Festival that there are "several ways" the Brexit vote could be "walked back" to prevent Great Britain from leaving the EU.  He suggested that the "Leave" voters didn't really mean they wanted a divorce from the EU.

Guardian:

The US secretary of state has raised doubts about whether Brexit will ever happen, suggesting most leave campaigners do not truly believe in Britain’s divorce from the EU and do not know how to achieve it.

Claiming there were a number of ways in which Thursday’s vote could be “walked back”, John Kerry, who visited Downing Street on Monday, said David Cameron was loth to invoke article 50, the EU exit procedure.

He said the British prime minister felt powerless to “start negotiating a thing that he doesn’t believe in” and “has no idea how he would do it”.

Apparently referring to Boris Johnson, one of the frontrunners to replace Cameron, Kerry added: “And by the way, nor do most of the people who voted to do it.”

Cameron was worried that Britain would be forced out of the EU at the end of the two-year negotiating period without a trade deal, Kerry told Aspen Ideas festivalon Tuesday. Asked if this meant the Brexit decision could be “walked back” and if so how, Kerry said: “I think there are a number of ways. I don’t, as secretary of state, want to throw them out today. I think that would be a mistake. But there are a number of ways.”

The US was a big cheerleader of Britain’s continued EU membership and has stood by White House warnings that the UK would go the “back of the queue” when trade deals were being negotiated.

Earlier in the week, Kerry stressed the rupture with the EU would have consequences, saying it was “not possible” the vote would have no impact.

If the British government invokes article 50, it will enter into two years of negotiations on an EU withdrawal treaty. EU officials have described the process is “irreversible” once launched, although that is not stated in the treaty text. Legal experts have told the House of Lords that a country could change its mind, albeit with “substantial political consequences”.

The article 50 talks would cover Britain’s EU exit, including the status of EU nationals living in the UK and Britons on the continent. A trade deal would be negotiated separately, a process that insiders think would take anywhere from five to 10 years. The EU side insists Britain cannot have a trade deal until the article 50 divorce is signed and sealed.

If it wasn't obvious before, it should be by now: the EU will try to bully Great Britain to change its mind and remain.  The threat to stretch out negotiations past the two-year period is a dagger pointed at Great Britain's heart.  British exports and imports would be stuck in limbo with no new trade agreement, and the triggering of Article 50 immediately, rather than after negotiations, means that the clock will start ticking once the new prime minister is chosen. 

Boris Johnson has withdrawn his name from consideration for P.M., leaving a wide open field.  A new election is possible, which, if held, could very well flip Parliament and bring to power the pro-EU Labor Party.  Many Labor M.P.s have already made it clear that they would vote to ignore the referendum, thus leaving Great Britain in the EU.

The pro-EU camp is vindictive and absolutely ruthless.  And as it appears that they are perfectly willing to ignore the will of the people, they will stop at nothing to get what they want.

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