The Iran deal: what's going on?
There is a lot of talk following the conclusion of the Iran deal about nuclear weapons, inspections, facilities, locations, centrifuges, and timelines. There is even name-calling. All great theater.
Which obscures the primary function of the deal, which is to remove sanctions from Iran. That is what the deal unequivocally does. It also establishes Iran’s right to have a bomb. The timeline on Iran’s getting the bomb is really unchanged by the agreement. Based on what we know about enriching U238 to U235, it is hard to believe they don’t already have the material for a uranium bomb. We enriched enough uranium in 18 months to get a bomb using inferior methods to centrifuges. The Iranians have been working on this for years.
We don’t know, but it is likely, given the intensity with which the Obama admin has pursued this deal, that the sanctions were really biting. As outsiders, we cannot know exactly what they were doing to Iran, particularly since the mullah elite, like all leftist elites, was not affected by the sanctions, which impacted only the public. But given the 2009 Green movement and now with the Saudis driving down the price of oil – which we will find the Iranians were selling more of than was reported – they may have been reaching an economic crisis.
So Obama rushed to their aid and completed an agreement in spite of securing none of the items initially stated as deal-breakers. We have no direct inspections by Americans and a 24-day delay before a challenged inspection can take place, in spite of the admin initially telling us that we had 24/7 access.
The truth is not in either Obama or Kerry, so everybody ignored these statements anyway. When it came out that they were untrue, there was no surprise. We can assume that Obama had not read the agreement and that it would have made no difference to what he said about it if he had. Obama has perfected the technique of saying whatever is necessary to close a deal at the time it is under consideration without any intention whatsoever of assuming responsibility for his statements. The way to think about whatever Obama says is that he is an actor reciting lines. The actor as an individual off-camera assumes no responsibility in the real world for the part he played on the screen. The better he can inhabit the part, the greater an actor he is. Obama inhabits the part of president to perfection. He is the best of the best as an actor.
Obama keeps asking rhetorically, what is the alternative to this deal, aside from war? The answer to that is to continue the status quo. Our real national objective is to use the sanctions to create enough unrest in Iran that the mullahs are pushed out. We put them in when Carter approved changing out the Shah for Khomeini. The Shah was anathematized for the repressions he used to maintain a modernizing regime. Carter pushed him out, and Khomeini came in and instituted a reign of terror that continues to this day, long after his death.
Obama uses his skills to accomplish exactly the opposite of what he is saying. He talks racial harmony to practice racial division. You can’t say he ever actually praises the U.S., but he maintains the front necessary to practice the dismantling of America. Presumably this is the reason for the Iran deal. It takes sanctions off Iran, very likely at a critical point for the Iranians, and, by saving the mullah regime, promotes the rise of Islam.
Since Obama is also a supporter of the Muslim Brotherhood and thus is backing the two radical organizations in both sects of Islam, it is a little difficult for an outsider to see Obama’s endgame. Perhaps he sees the rise of radical Islam as an end in itself and will leave the final scrimmage between Shia and Sunni to the future.