February 29, 2008
Poll Shows Obama Pulling Away in Tx; gaining in OH
It appears that next Tuesday may very well prove to be Hillary Clinton's swan song. The latest Zogby/C-Span/Houston Chronicle Poll shows Senator Barack Obama pulling away in Texas while Ohio appears to be a dead heat:
Texas - Democrats | |
Clinton | 42% |
Obama | 48% |
Gravel | <1% |
Someone else | 3% |
Not sure | 7% |
Ohio - Democrats | |
Clinton | 44% |
Obama | 42% |
Gravel | 1% |
Someone else | 5% |
Not sure | 9% |
It appears that Hillary just can't stop Obama's momentum no matter what she tries.
It should be said that Zogby has been on of the more unreliable barometers in this primary season. But the poll reflects similar gains by Obama in other polls.
Clinton is desperately trying to hold on to her white working class base in Ohio. If she wins there but loses in Texas does she stay in?
My guess is unless she loses both she will remain a candidate despite a chorus of entreaties from other Democrats pleading with her to get out of the race. She will probably make the argument that the Democrats don't have much of a chance in Texas during the November election anyway and that a victory in Ohio means her campaign is still viable.
If she loses both states and still insists on staying in, watch for a big name Democrat to sit down with her - sort of like an intervention for addiction - and tell her its over and she better get out.