Every state Teresa Heinz visits, Kerry polls lower right after. If the Dems were smart (or able to control her), they would send her to DC, or Rhode Island, where it does not matter.

I am very encouraged by last two days of state polls —— they are beginning to reflect Bush's small lead in national polls (3% average). There is always a lag effect with state polls compated to daily tracking national polls. Ohio still has me concerned, but even here, we are even to slightly ahead, after being down earlier in the week.

Arnold is probably worth 2 points next weekend in Ohio. It is a celebrity—starved state. They still worship Woody Hayes.

Richard Baehr   10 21 04