November 8, 2016

Prediction for tonight: Trump by 5 (still)

Crunch time!  So suck it up and vote! Okay, even I admit to butterflies right now.  Who wouldn't?  But the song remains the same: Trump +5%.  Simply have confidence, and make it so. Flawed MSM polls have come in from Cli...

October 25, 2016

November 8: Trump +5

Conventional wisdom says Trump's a dead duck, and we all know how prescient is conventional wisdom.  Only two weeks left until election, and RealClearPolitics (RCP) puts Clinton about 6 points ahead.  So confident is Hillary (supposedly...

September 6, 2016

Could California’s illegal voter registration drive torpedo Hillary’s carefully laid plans for victory?

In February 2016, the California governor and legislature did something rather outlandish.  They made a law (2015 Motor Voter Law) that allows all California illegals to apply for a driver’s license.  This law combined with 2013 Assem...

August 9, 2016

Lies, damned lies, and then there are polls

Poll problems.  I'm not talking about adjustments made for improper questions or demographic sampling techniques, though those do tend to bias the poll results in favor of one particular candidate.  (Guess who.)  No, I'm talkin...

July 22, 2016

A theory of NeverTrumpers

I am a conservative who was for Ted Cruz until he bowed out. NeverTrumpers differ materially from NeverHillaryites, the latter of which are actually disappointed Bernie fans who will simply go another way while quietly claiming nothing but disdain...