How the international community stopped a possible chemical attack by Assad

Rick Moran
It turns out that the crisis was a lot more serious than we were told:

In the last days of November, Israel's top military commanders called the Pentagon to discuss troubling intelligence that was showing up on satellite imagery: Syrian troops appeared to be mixing chemicals at two storage sites, probably the deadly nerve gas sarin, and filling dozens of 500-pounds bombs that could be loaded on airplanes.

Within hours President Obama was notified, and the alarm grew over the weekend, as the munitions were loaded onto vehicles near Syrian air bases. In briefings, administration officials were told that if Syria's increasingly desperate president, Bashar al-Assad, ordered the weapons to be used, they could be airborne in less than two hours - too fast for the United States to act, in all likelihood.

What followed next, officials said, was a remarkable show of international cooperation over a civil war in which the United States, Arab states, Russia and China have almost never agreed on a common course of action.

The combination of a public warning by Mr. Obama and more sharply worded private messages sent to the Syrian leader and his military commanders through Russia and others, including Iraq, Turkey and possibly Jordan, stopped the chemical mixing and the bomb preparation. A week later Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said the worst fears were over - for the time being.

But concern remains that Mr. Assad could now use the weapons produced that week at any moment. American and European officials say that while a crisis was averted in that week from late November to early December, they are by no means resting easy.

"I think the Russians understood this is the one thing that could get us to intervene in the war," one senior defense official said last week. "What Assad understood, and whether that understanding changes if he gets cornered in the next few months, that's anyone's guess."

At the time, the administration contended that an attack was not "imminent." One could interpret that statement in several ways, but the fact is, western powers were convinced Assad was readying his chemical weapons arsenal for use.

A couple of weeks ago, a report surfaced that a neighborhood outside of Damascus had been attacked by a chemical weapon. We still don't know if that was the case, but regardless, as Assad's regime continues to crumble, the dictator may take a "use it or lose it" attitude toward his WMD and launch an attack.


It turns out that the crisis was a lot more serious than we were told:

In the last days of November, Israel's top military commanders called the Pentagon to discuss troubling intelligence that was showing up on satellite imagery: Syrian troops appeared to be mixing chemicals at two storage sites, probably the deadly nerve gas sarin, and filling dozens of 500-pounds bombs that could be loaded on airplanes.

Within hours President Obama was notified, and the alarm grew over the weekend, as the munitions were loaded onto vehicles near Syrian air bases. In briefings, administration officials were told that if Syria's increasingly desperate president, Bashar al-Assad, ordered the weapons to be used, they could be airborne in less than two hours - too fast for the United States to act, in all likelihood.

What followed next, officials said, was a remarkable show of international cooperation over a civil war in which the United States, Arab states, Russia and China have almost never agreed on a common course of action.

The combination of a public warning by Mr. Obama and more sharply worded private messages sent to the Syrian leader and his military commanders through Russia and others, including Iraq, Turkey and possibly Jordan, stopped the chemical mixing and the bomb preparation. A week later Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said the worst fears were over - for the time being.

But concern remains that Mr. Assad could now use the weapons produced that week at any moment. American and European officials say that while a crisis was averted in that week from late November to early December, they are by no means resting easy.

"I think the Russians understood this is the one thing that could get us to intervene in the war," one senior defense official said last week. "What Assad understood, and whether that understanding changes if he gets cornered in the next few months, that's anyone's guess."

At the time, the administration contended that an attack was not "imminent." One could interpret that statement in several ways, but the fact is, western powers were convinced Assad was readying his chemical weapons arsenal for use.

A couple of weeks ago, a report surfaced that a neighborhood outside of Damascus had been attacked by a chemical weapon. We still don't know if that was the case, but regardless, as Assad's regime continues to crumble, the dictator may take a "use it or lose it" attitude toward his WMD and launch an attack.