Propaganda poll shows Obama ahead
A worthless new Quinnipiac poll gives Obama a big edge in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
The survey shows Obama up 6 in Ohio and Florida and 11 in Pennsylvania. These are all bigger margins than Obama received when he won all three states in 2008 -- Florida (2.8%), Ohio (4.7%). Pennsylvania(10%). It seems unlikely that Obama would be doing better in these states than he did 4 years ago. If you look at page 9 of the detailed results provided by the pollster (now linked to the New York Times and CBS for these state polls), you get the answer for the odd results:
Those surveyed revealed who they voted for in 2008. Here are the results by state (Page 9):
Florida: Obama 53%, McCain 40%
Ohio: Obama 53%, McCain 38%
Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, McCain 40%.
In other words, the bias towards Obama voters is 10% in Florida and Ohio, and 4% in Pennsylvania, compared to how people actually voted in these states in 2008.
These results are as valuable as the media that sponsored them. It is a shame that Quinnipiac, which was once respected, has thrown in with the propagandists.